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Maurice Cousins's avatar

Well said Rachael! You have been brilliant - both as Housing Minister and a member of this Committee. Your constituents are lucky to have you.

James Francis's avatar

The ground rent consultation poses a clear choice for those in power. Which is preferable - pension funds lose money (although they have <1% invested in ground rents, so within investing risk tolerances), or condemn hundreds of thousands of people (often young people) to financial ruin by having their properties valued at £0 and unsellable?

Let me explain why it is this binary. The freeholder lobby will say that the small number of doubling ground rents (some say 5,000 of these, some say 20,000) are the only onerous ground rents, but it’s not the case. Mortgage lenders – the real decision makers on what is onerous or not – are dragging more and more ground rent terms into that bucket, and hence valuing more and more flats at £0. Lenders increasingly state that any ground rent is deemed onerous if it is more than 0.1% of the property value, or soon will be. For reference, Nationwide became the first bank to reference 0.1% in their lending criteria, and The Law Commission report on ground rent reaffirmed it, and since then more banks have jumped on this. Conveyancers are also becoming more cautious (when previously asleep at the wheel) and are starting to demand a Deed of Variation if the ground rent will go above 0.1% in the near future, with freeholders then charging five figure sums for a change.

If flat prices were growing exponentially, then this becomes less of a concern, but since Grenfell and the cladding scandal, and now widespread media coverage of “toxic leasehold”, flat prices are dropping and the gap between freehold house and leasehold flat prices is increasing, where they used to grow in unison (the FT reported in May last year that London house prices are up 17% since 2017, but flats are down 1%). Estate agents will back this up – I’ve heard many tell me that if you bought a new build flat in the past 10 years, you’ll be lucky to sell it for the same price you bought it. Flat prices trending downwards, and ground rent trending forever upwards, creates a car crash for flat marketability and valuations.

Let’s do the maths. After a typical 10 year RPI linked review, of which there are hundreds of thousands of these leases, the average £298 ground rent (government calculated national average) will start getting over 0.1% of the typical leasehold property value at the first or second rent review, if it is not already (average flat in the UK is around £250,000). To compound this, banks do not like to lend if a leasehold is an Assured Tenancy liability, or AST (many will become an AST after the first or second RPI review, especially outside London when AST kicks in at only £250). And some RPI reviews calculate this on an annual compounded basis. Those actually work out as worse than a doubler anyway (which often stopped doubling after 60ys) – someone with compounded RPI will end up paying more in ground rent over the length of a typical 125-year lease, than they paid for the property in the first place – clearly onerous. This is why freeholders saying “RPI is fine” is dangerous and untrue.

This has popped up as a national issue now because the first tranche of these toxic leases have come up for their first ground rent review in the past two or three years, and people are now finding it had to remortgage or sell. It’s the cladding scandal 2.0.

The other misleading narrative from the freeholder lobby is their claim that the initial leasehold sale price “reflected the ground rent terms” and was often below true market value because of it, which any buyer knows is not the case. Leasehold flats, especially new builds, were sold at prices that were broadly the same as a Share of Freehold flat and at a full market value.

Policymakers knows they can’t stand by and watch hundreds of thousands of flats slowly become worthless over the next 20 years, due solely to escalating ground rent clauses, when we already have a chronic shortage of housing stock for first time buyers. Hence why a cap is being suggested. That’s the basic economic argument, let alone the moral/social argument. Freeholders are incapable of self-regulation (cladding showed that), so the government has to step in.

Freeholders and developers need to accept that they got a bit too greedy when packaging up ground rent as a new asset class about 15 years ago (ground rents were a nominal “peppercorn” amount for generations don’t forget), exploiting the hot property market for flats that that (before all these scandals) had high demand, and allowed them to set whatever terms they wanted to gouge out more profit, in the knowledge that enough desperate buyers would sign up (and conveyancers were completely missing the implications of escalating ground rents and not pointing it out). Pension funds need to accept that they invested in something unfair and immoral, and was already being heavily debated as far back as 2017, so was always a big risk.

A peppercorn rent for all is the fair conclusion, but power freeholders will no doubt try their luck in the courts and seek to delay its implementation for as long as possible – causing new paralysis to an already sclerotic flat market.

Knowing history is not on their side, you’d think freeholders would be smart and, at the very least, voluntarily introduce a retrospective ban on escalating rent reviews, with ground rent staying at the amount initially set out in the lease. A proposed 0.1% cap, whilst also suitable in theory, would cause too many arguments on the fair flat value (freeholders, left to themselves, would inflate) and using an independent surveyor could prove expensive for leaseholders. A cap to the original amount would see pension funds still get money, and leaseholders can sell.

It would, however, create a two-tiered flat market and lead to flats built before the 2022 Leasehold Act losing even more value – and potentially putting people into negative equity.

The right answer is clear, and hopefully the government has the fight in it to make the change needed – otherwise we are headed into a housing abyss.

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